Service Plays Wednesday 7/21/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Wednesday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Brett Myers (7-6, 3.35), Houston Astros

Myers is on the radar of many teams in the trade market looking for a quality starter. The guy isn’t going to pitch no-hit ball every night but he tends to be a bullpen’s best friend.

“He came here with a reputation of being an innings eater and I think now he’s gone and almost taken it to another level,” said Houston manager Brad Mills. “The way he’s gone about it is very special.”

Myers hasn’t given up more than two runs in three July starts, compiling a 2-0 record with a nifty 2.08 ERA. True to form, the right-hander worked no fewer than 6.0 innings in each of those outings and is the only pitcher in MLB to go at least six innings in every start this year.

The under is 3-0 in Myers’ last three starts and he’s 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA against the Cubs this season.

Gavin Floyd (5-8, 4.10), Chicago White Sox

Chicago’s turnaround has directly coincided with Floyd’s resurgence. After accruing a 2-6 record through June 3, the Sox righty has gone 3-2 since but the team won five of those eight starts.

Floyd has not surrendered more than one earned run in seven of his previous eight outings. The start that he gave up more than one was a two-earned run performance. Even more impressive, Floyd has not allowed a single long ball in eight consecutive starts while striking out 46 hitters.

Slumping

Tommy Hanson (8-6, 4.19), Atlanta Braves

The ace of the Braves staff has been far from good over his last five outings. Hanson has gone 1-3 in that stretch, allowing 39 hits and 22 runs (19 earned). He didn’t get past the fourth inning in two of those starts.

“The biggest thing today was, I was just inconsistent with all my pitches,” Hanson said after a 9-3 loss to Milwaukee last Friday. “The second inning, just getting behind too many guys kind of got me in trouble there.”

Some analysts feel that Hanson is playing through a knee injury that could be affecting his pitching. The righty has a career 2-0 record with a 2.25 ERA versus the Padres.

Ted Lilly (3-4, 3.22), Chicago Cubs

Chicago’s lefty is auditioning for a job on a contender but his trade value continues to plummet. Lilly put together a pretty good line in his last outing (7.0 innings, 3 earned) but that performance followed a couple of stinkers.
In July, the southpaw is 0-2 with an 8.95 ERA. Lilly was tagged for nine earned runs, including four homers, in first start of the month. He didn’t get out of the fourth inning in his next outing against L.A. when he gave up seven total runs.

Lilly definitely looked better last Friday after recording 10 strikeouts but this guy is too hot and cold to get behind from a betting perspective.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

CHIC (-150) over HOU

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Wednesday's Best MLB Bets

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-130, 7.5)

The Giants didn’t let a blatantly-missed call at home plate that cost them the game Sunday halt momentum. San Francisco has won 10 of its last 12 games and moved into second place in the NL West after a 5-2 win over L.A. on Monday.

"After [Sunday’s] deal, we didn't let that affect us," reliever Jeremy Affeldt said.

Trailing the Padres by four games going into Wednesday, the Jints are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They added to their archrival’s recent misery with Monday’s victory.

The Dodgers have dropped five consecutive games and are 4-8 over a 12-game stretch. Los Angeles has only scored 11 runs during the losing streak.

"You get what you earn. Right now we've given a lot away and we have to find a way of getting back on track," manager Joe Torre said. "We've left a lot of men on base lately."

San Fran is 3-0 in Barry Zito’s last three starts and averaged just under seven runs per in those contests. Look for Zito to keep the Manny-less Dodgers bats cool in warm Southern California.

Pick: SF Giants


Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (-175, 8.5)

Yunel Escobar is making the most of his fresh start in Toronto. After being run out of Atlanta, the 27-year-old shortstop is hitting .471 with two homers and seven RBIs in four games with the Jays.

There must be something in the water up in Canada because Escobar was homerless in 261 at-bats with the Braves before being traded.
"A lot of people were asking him about it…doubting whether he could hit [a home run] or not," Toronto bench coach Nick Leyva said. "He knows he can."

It was only a matter of time before Escobar starting heating up. And after being inserted into a free-swinging lineup that looks for the long ball, his production should stay on the rise.

The Jays lead the majors in home runs (141) but suffered a bad beat Monday when closer Kevin Gregg blew his fourth save of the season. He is awful and cannot be trusted while Wednesday’s starter, Mark Rzepczynski, is a reliever getting his second spot start of the season.

Toronto should be able to touch up Zack Greinke for at least a few runs and the Royals will get theirs in what should be a double-digit game when it’s all said and done.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LADY LUCK

Wednesday's Best WNBA Bet

Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics (-4.5, 162)

Atlanta had better not get caught dreaming of home when it finishes a four-game road run in D.C. Wednesday night.

The Dream have lost three straight road contests, most recently dropping a 96-80 defeat to the Connecticut Sun last weekend. Atlanta is 0-3 against the spread as well, posting a 2-8 ATS mark in its last 10 games.

The Dream looked fatigued in their most recent outing, tossing up numerous poor shots and hitting at only 40 percent from the field and going just 3-for-13 from beyond the arc. Atlanta dropped 28 points in the first quarter then was outscored 76-52 in the final three frames.

“I don’t want to use that as an excuse, but sometimes when you are fatigued you make bad decisions, and I thought we had some bad offensive shot selections that led to their points,” Atlanta head coach Marynell Meadors told the Connecticut Sports Examiner. “We got down in that hole and it’s just hard to come back.

“It’s tough, and the commercial travel makes it really tough,” Meadors added. “These are professional athletes and my concern is they are tired and subject to injury and that bothers me because they make their livelihood with their feet, their knees and their legs and their bodies.”

Atlanta is tops in the Eastern Conference with a 14-8 record but is 6-6 away from home. The Dream needed overtime to defeat the Mystics on the road in their last meeting, but won’t have the gas to go deep Wednesday.

Pick: Washington Mystics

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Wednesday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Rays at Orioles – The total for this game has jumped from an opener of 9 to 9.5 on most boards.
Indians at Twins – The home team opened as -170 favorites but that number has escalated to as high as -210. The total for the game has moved from 9 to 9.5.
Brewers at Pirates – An opening total of 9 has moved to 8.5.
Rangers at Tigers – Sharps have hit Detroit hard in this contest, moving the team from a +112 underdog to -110 chalk.
Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics – The total for this game has been bet down from an opener of 162 to its current number, 159.5.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Angels at Yankees – A 50 percent chance of rain is called for.
Blue Jays at Royals – The forecast projects a 40 percent chance of rain.
Rockies at Marlins – A 17 mph wind is expected to blow in from right-center field.
Nationals at Reds – A 30 percent chance of rain is called for. Tuesday’s game in this series was delayed because of rain.
Phillies at Cardinals – There is a 40-50 percent chance of precipitation.

Who’s Hot

The Cardinals have won seven games in a row.
Going into Tuesday, the Giants were 8-2 over a 10-game span.

Who’s Not
The Tigers have lost seven straight games.
Atlanta (WNBA) has lost five straight ATS and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
Seattle in 2-8 over its last 10 games.

Key Stat
13 – Number of inside-the-park home runs in baseball this season.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

The Dodgers placed outfielder Manny Ramirez on the 15-day disabled list for the third time this season on Tuesday, this time for a right calf strain – the same calf strain also landed him on the DL in late April.. Ramirez was hurt in Friday's game against St. Louis and had just come off the 15-day disabled list Thursday because of a strained right hamstring. Ramirez, who is hitting .317 with eight home runs and 39 RBIs this season, was replaced on the 25-man roster by catcher Brad Ausmus.

Tournament Of The Week

PGA: Canadian Open betting preview

Notable Quotable

"We didn't think about it 'cause that's not what we're about. From college I was trying to figure out how to beat Larry Bird."
-- Magic Johnson, echoing Michael Jordan’s previous statement, about how he would never have looked to join forces with Jordan or Bird like LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh have in Miami.

Tips And Notes

- Most casual bettors aren’t aware of the MLB game prop: Will there be a run scored in the first inning? The odds are usually favored toward the answer of “NO” and they get even higher if a couple of aces are on the mound. But if a bettor placed a one unit wager on every Rangers game this season he would be well in the black. In 94 Texas games, there has been a run scored in the first inning in 52 of them. As of today, the Rangers or their opponent had scored in the first inning of five of their last six games.

- The Atlanta Dream of the WNBA are a weary bunch. They’ve been on the road for a week and haven’t covered the spread in five straight tries while winning just one of those games. Head coach Marynell Meadors said the team was “fatigued” in its last game which led to “some bad offensive shot selections.” She also went on to say that “commercial travel makes it really tough.” That’s right, they ride on the same aircraft we do, not the charter planes real professional get transported around in. The Dream are just 4-point dogs in Washington Wednesday and could be longing to get out of D.C.

- Toronto will trot out spot starter Marc Rzepczynski Wednesday versus the Royals. Rzepczynski will be pitching on three days' rest after making a 0.2-inning relief appearance Saturday. Before that, he hadn’t pitched since July 10 and came out of the bullpen for 0.1 innings of work. The Jays called up Rzepczynski from Triple-A on July 7 for a start and he went 5.2 innings with four earned runs. This guy probably doesn’t know his head from his feet right now and could be out of sync with this unusual pitching schedule.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rockies Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Yankees and Nationals. The deficit is 280 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, ping-ponging in the red between three and four figures, moved deeper into debt last night when the Marlins were smoked by the Rockies to put the dirty digits at 1,030 colavitos.

Today, he'll take a stab with a 10-unit plunge on Westbrook and the surging Native Americans to maul Minny.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
483 - 354 run 58 %

Bonus PlayWED RED SOX -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks mlb

Tampa bay -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wednesday, July 21

Hot pitchers
-- Myers is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.
-- Milwaukee won Wolf's last four road starts (3-0, 2.39).
-- Hammel is 6-1, 2.35 in his last ten starts. Nolasco is 4-1, 4.05 in his last five outings.
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts. Arroyo is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Niese has a 1.63 RA in his last four starts.
-- Zito is 0-0, 2.03 in two starts against the Dodgers this year.

-- Angels won last eight Pineiro starts (6-0, 2.51). Vazquez is 1-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 1.84 in his last two home starts.
-- GGonzalez is 2-1, 2.40 in his last five starts. Buchholz is 7-1, 1.59 in his last nine starts.
-- Lewis is 5-1, 3.52 in his last seven starts. Scherzer is 3-1, 1.93 in his last five starts.
-- FHernandez is 4-1, 1.66 in his last seven starts. Floyd is 4-2, 1.95 in his last eight starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lilly is 0-2, 9.87 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 0-5, 7.67 in his last five starts.
-- Hanson is 1-3, 8.25 in his last five starts. Garland has 5.87 RA in his last five road starts.
-- Blanton has a 7.16 RA in his last ten starts. Garcia has 5.32 RA in his last five outings.
-- Arizona lost Haren's last six starts (0-4, 5.49).
-- Billingsley is 1-2, 6.59 in his last five starts.

-- Shields is 1-8, 7.20 in his last ten starts. Bergesen is 0-5, 7.25 in his last seven starts.
-- Westbrook is 2-2, 5.05 in his last six starts.
-- Greinke has 5.46 RA in his last four home starts.
-- Rzepczynski allowed four runs in 5.2 IP in his first '10 start.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Atlanta home games.
-- Seven of last eight Florida home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 11-5-2 in last eighteen Cincinnati home games.
-- Over is 9-4 in Cubs' last thirteen home games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Philly road games.
-- Over is 12-4 in last sixteen Arizona home games.
-- Over is 14-7 in last 21 Dodger home games.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in Detroit's last nine home games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Angels' last twelve road games.
-- 10 of last 14 games at Camden Yards went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Royal home games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Minnesota's last twelve home games.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen White Sox road games.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Braves are 23-6 in their last 29 home games. Padres won four of their last five games.
-- Reds won four of their last five games.
-- Marlins won four of last six games, with three of four wins shutouts.
Rockies are 8-4 in their last twelve games.
-- Cardinals are 23-9 in their last 32 home games.
-- Giants won 11 of their last 13 games.

-- Bronx won 10 of its last 13 games.
-- Rangers won last three games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Indians won their last six games, allowing 15 runs.
-- Rays won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Toronto won five of its last seven games.
-- A's are 9-3 in their last dozen games.
-- White Sox are 28-8 in their last 36 games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers are 9-13 in their last 22 road games.
-- Phillies lost 10 of their last 13 road games.
-- Nationals are 3-17 in last twenty road games.
-- Dodgers lost their last six games, outscored 34-16.
-- Astros lost 14 of their last 21 road games. Cubs are 7-9 in their last 16 home games.
-- Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games, but won their last two. Mets are 4-11 in 15 on road.

-- Orioles lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Angels lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Tigers lost last seven games, outscored 43-17.
-- Twins are 6-10 in their last sixteen games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox are 6-10 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Mariners lost 15 of their last 17 games.

Umpires
-- Mil-Pitt-- Three of last four Reyburn games went over the total.
-- SD-Atl-- Underdogs are 8-3 (+$856) in last eleven Meals games.
-- Col-Fla-- Three of last four Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Six of last eight Cederstrom games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Favorite won 12 of last 13 Nauert games.
-- Phil-StL-- Seven of last eight Layne games stayed under total.
-- NY-Az-- Under is 12-1-1 in last fourteen Gibson games.
-- SF-LA-- Home side won 13 of last 14 McClelland games.

-- Tex-Det-- Under is 12-3 in Wolf''s last 15 games behind the dish.
-- LAA-NYY-- Road team won the last four Emmel games.
-- TB-Balt-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Fairchild games.
-- Tor-KC-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Estabrook games.
-- Cle-Min-- Home side won eight of last nine Demuth games.
-- Bos-A's-- Underdogs (+$518) won last four Campos games.
-- Chi-Sea-- Porter-- Have no information on this rookie umpire.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Investment Group

Yesterdays Recap- off

Todays Plays - One MLB Play today

Tampa / Baltimore UNDER 9.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.7 in Atletico-MG v Internacional

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Cubs(RL)
Red Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
Angels +165

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 9 runs bet. Colorado and Florida
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL MLB

Boston at Oakland
The Red Sox look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games as a road favorite from -110 to -150. Boston is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 21

Game 901-902: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 15.335; Cubs (Lilly) 14.448
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); N/A

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.331; Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.598
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Garland) 16.460; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.242
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under

Game 907-908: Colorado at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.379; Florida (Nolasco) 15.236
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115); Over

Game 909-910: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.074; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.776
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.156; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.848
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+155); Over

Game 913-914: NY Mets at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.396; Arizona (Haren) 15.536
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.353; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.513
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.029; Baltimore (Bergesen) 14.582
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-205); Under

Game 919-920: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.676; NY Yankees (Vazquez) 16.551
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Westbrook) 15.749; Minnesota (Liriano) 16.331
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-210); Under

Game 923-924: Toronto at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczynski) 15.021; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.315
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-175); Over

Game 925-926: Boston at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.524; Oakland (Gonzalez) 14.551
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under

Game 927-928: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 14.572; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.667
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Over

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.107; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-135); Under
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL

Atlanta at Washington
The Mystics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is coming off a 96-80 loss to Connecticut and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU defeat. Washington is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 21

Game 651-952: Atlanta at Washington (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 107.470; Washington 116.880
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9 1/2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 159 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals 4 U

Top Play
Minn OVER 8

Reg Plays
NYY OVER 9-
Wash UNDER 7
NYM UNDER 9
SF OVER 7-

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Platinum Plays

Premier Play DET

Top Play
Atl

Reg Plays
RSox
Milw
Flor
Wash
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